Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000996 0.001133 0.001271 0.001421 0.001578 0.001738 0.001913
2025-04-13 0.000732 0.000935 0.001152 0.001397 0.001663 0.001941 0.002252
2025-04-20 0.000503 0.000749 0.001026 0.001352 0.001719 0.002114 0.002565
2025-04-27 0.000326 0.000593 0.000917 0.001315 0.001779 0.002289 0.002883
2025-05-04 0.000225 0.000511 0.000882 0.001357 0.001925 0.002562 0.003314
2025-05-11 0.000138 0.000426 0.000833 0.001377 0.002042 0.002802 0.003710
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000298 0.000706 0.001288 0.002025 0.002883 0.003923
2025-05-25 0.000008 0.000213 0.000624 0.001246 0.002057 0.003018 0.004197
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000148 0.000556 0.001214 0.002097 0.003159 0.004476
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000106 0.000514 0.001211 0.002170 0.003339 0.004798
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000085 0.000506 0.001256 0.002304 0.003590 0.005204
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000056 0.000470 0.001255 0.002374 0.003763 0.005517
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000032 0.000435 0.001259 0.002459 0.003964 0.005877
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000014 0.000402 0.001263 0.002546 0.004170 0.006247
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000002 0.000356 0.001241 0.002594 0.004329 0.006561
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000313 0.001219 0.002643 0.004487 0.006875
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000311 0.001270 0.002793 0.004775 0.007349
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000297 0.001296 0.002908 0.005018 0.007766
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000232 0.001215 0.002864 0.005056 0.007933
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000193 0.001178 0.002881 0.005169 0.008191
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000162 0.001149 0.002909 0.005296 0.008464
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000143 0.001149 0.002977 0.005474 0.008800
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000144 0.001194 0.003115 0.005745 0.009249